Hello!
Our favorite links this month include:
Also, Giving Season has started on the EA Forum! People will vote on how a charitable fund should be allocated, debate where our donations should go, and discuss other considerations on effective giving.
— Lizka (for the EA Newsletter Team)
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Articles
How long do policy changes matter?
Is advocating for policy changes effective? One of the things you'd need to evaluate to answer this question is how long a new policy would persist before it would probably repealed. It's common to conservatively assume that policies will be repealed after only a few years — or to assume that policy changes would quickly become redundant because a similar policy would have passed in a few years in any case.
A recent paper that analyzes historical data from the US finds that policy changes are surprisingly persistent. A narrowly passed referendum will probably (80%) still be in place a century later. Moreover, referendums that narrowly fail will probably (60%) not pass at all in the next century. This suggests that advocacy for policy change might be much more cost-effective than is often assumed. See more discussion about why policies focused on neglected issues might be more persistent, hypotheses about why repeals are so rare, and more.
News on AI safety and AI governance
- Policy
- The UK’s AI Safety Summit gathered over 100 political and tech leaders to discuss how we can manage risks from advances in AI. The resulting Bletchley Declaration, a commitment to international cooperation for tackling AI risks, was signed by representatives of 28 countries (including the US, UK, and China, as well as the EU).
- U.S. President Biden issued an executive order on “safe, secure, and trustworthy” AI (brief summary and analysis, fact sheet, full order), requiring reporting systems, safety precautions at biology labs, and more.
- There’s some uncertainty about how the EU’s AI Act will approach foundation models.
- Several countries have established national AI safety institutions.
- Industry
- OpenAI's CEO Sam Altman was fired. This news is important but still developing.
- Meta has disbanded its “Responsible AI” team.
- Other/both
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Air pollution is responsible for ~12% of deaths — how can we get that number down?
Air pollution accounts for the deaths of close to 6.7 million people per year (including half a million infants). Pollution is particularly bad in countries like India, where the average person might be losing 3 to 6 years of life expectancy due to bad air. And the problem is incredibly neglected.
In a recent podcast, Santosh Harish discusses the main causes of air pollution and some potentially cost-effective interventions. Indoor pollution can result from people burning solid fuels for cooking. (Unfortunately, a lack of access to cleaner fuels like liquid petroleum gas or reliable electricity means many people have no choice except to use fuels like firewood.) Outdoor air pollution is caused by waste burning, illegal industrial gas dumping, vehicle emissions, and more. And policies meant to prevent air pollution are often outdated or left unenforced.
Research, policy outreach, and technical assistance to governments could be effective ways for philanthropy to support work on this problem. Anything that improves energy efficiency would also help, as have subsidies that help people switch from solid fuels. Santosh Harish leads Open Philanthropy’s grantmaking in South Asian air quality, where he’s funded air quality monitoring projects and more. (Open Philanthropy is hiring.)
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In other news
- Giving Season has started!
- AI safety (see a roundup of news above)
- Liv Boeree talks about the dark side of competition in AI in a recent TED talk.
- In TIME (paywalled), Yoshua Bengio and Daniel Privitera outline policy goals that could help achieve AI progress, safety, and democratic participation.
- AI safety researcher Paul Christiano discusses responsible scaling policies and more on the Dwarkesh Podcast.
- Other
For more stories, try these email newsletters and podcasts.
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Resources
Links we share every time — they're just that good!
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Jobs
- The 80,000 Hours Job Board features more than 800 positions. We can’t fit them all in the newsletter, so you can check them out there.
- The EA Opportunity Board collects internships, volunteer opportunities, conferences, and more — including part-time and entry-level job opportunities.
- Probably Good maintains a list of impact-focused job boards.
Featured jobs
Anima International
Anthropic
BlueDot Impact
Effective Institutions Project
Future of Life Foundation
Global Priorities Institute, Oxford University
Longview Philanthropy
Open Philanthropy
- Various positions across Open Philanthropy’s teams focused on Global Catastrophic Risk (salaries and locations vary; you can apply to any number of these positions using a single form) (apply by 27 November)
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Announcements
Fellowships
AI-specific opportunities
Giving season (where should we donate?)
The Effective Altruism Forum is running a Donation Election (where people will vote on how a fund should be allocated) and featuring discussions related to effective giving and donation choice. See more in the new Giving Portal.
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Organizational Updates
You can see updates from a wide range of organizations on the EA Forum.
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Timeless classic: what happens on the average day?
In this classic post, Rose Hadshar outlines what actually happens on an average day. It’s “a cheat sheet: some information to have in the back of [your] mind when reading whatever regular news stories are coming at [you], to ground [yourself] in something that feels a bit closer to what’s actually going on.”
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We hope you found this edition useful!
If you’ve taken action because of the Newsletter and haven’t taken our impact survey, please do — it helps us improve future editions.
Finally, if you have feedback for us, positive or negative, let us know!
– The Effective Altruism Newsletter Team
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